Scotland and Ireland are close to ending HIV transmission, but gaps remain

Our new modelling study shows that Scotland and Ireland have already met UNAIDS HIV transmission elimination targets for their total populations. However, without further action, neither country will meet the 2030 goal for gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM). Aquarius Population Health modelled future HIV transmission in Scotland and Ireland Read More >
EU27 not on track to end HIV transmission by 2030, new modelling shows

Updated modelling suggests around 242,000 new infections could occur across the EU27 by 2030 without increased prevention efforts. Read More >
CROI Conference 2026: New modelling study examines whether Scotland and Ireland are on track to eliminate HIV transmission

Aquarius Population Health presented new modelling research at the Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections (CROI) 2026 in Denver, Colorado, February 22-25, examining whether Scotland and Ireland are on course to eliminate new HIV transmissions by 2030. Both countries have committed to meeting the UNAIDS target of fewer than one new infection acquired within the country Read More >